Antalyaspor 0-0 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Jan 2024

Antalyaspor
0-0 HT 0-0
Alanyaspor
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
22.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.33
X/2
10%
6.98
X/X
16%
4.1
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.57
2/X
5%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.49
+13% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.2 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.55
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
322 Passes 481
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
16.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
27.11.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
17.03.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TÜK
13.03.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Antalyaspor 0-0 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
0-0
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.96 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
318 Passes 392
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor and Alanyaspor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Antalyaspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 46% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 54%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.96 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.50 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor?

Antalyaspor 0-0 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 41%, draw 30%, Alanyaspor 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Antalyaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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