Gaziantep FK 2-2 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Jan 2024

Gaziantep FK
2-2 HT 1-0
Pendikspor
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Gaziantep FK vs Pendikspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
14%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.63
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.35
X/2
10%
7.24
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
17%
5.34
2/X
8%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Pendikspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.60/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.27
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.1 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Gaziantep FK 2-2 Pendikspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-2
AWAY Pendikspor
0.63 xG 2.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
327 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK and Pendikspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gaziantep FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 47% of the ball to Pendikspor's 53%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.63 to 2.10.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Pendikspor?

Gaziantep FK 2-2 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 42%, draw 25%, Pendikspor 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gaziantep FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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