Vikingur Olafsvik 3-4 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur Olafsvik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 24%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
3.10/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.73
+19% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur Olafsvik
1W-1D-2L
AWAY AEgir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 AEgir AEgir 2-2 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZL2
07.07.2024 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik 3-1 AEgir AEgir İZL2
31.08.2021 AEgir AEgir 4-0 HT 2-0 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZL1
21.05.2021 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik 1-3 HT 0-3 AEgir AEgir İZL1
POST-MATCH Vikingur Olafsvik vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEgir squeezed past Vikingur Olafsvik 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vikingur Olafsvik at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, AEgir led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vikingur Olafsvik and 2.50 for AEgir.

What was the final score of Vikingur Olafsvik vs AEgir?

Vikingur Olafsvik 3-4 AEgir in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur Olafsvik vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur Olafsvik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vikingur Olafsvik 56%, draw 18%, AEgir 26%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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