San Miguel 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.3pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.43/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.23
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.09.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-0 HT 2-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
04.05.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and Club Atletico Guemes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was San Miguel at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Miguel and 1.00 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes?

San Miguel 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 53%, draw 26%, Club Atletico Guemes 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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