San Miguel 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 25%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.02
+131% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel nicked a narrow win over Club Atletico Guemes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes?

San Miguel 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 41%, draw 35%, Club Atletico Guemes 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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