Colon 3-0 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.43
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+1.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.1pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colon EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.69/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.45
+23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colon
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Almagro
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.03.2005 Almagro Almagro 0-5 HT 0-2 Colon Colon ARJ
19.09.2004 Colon Colon 0-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJ
POST-MATCH Colon vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colon cruised past Almagro 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colon as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colon had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Colon and 0.00 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Colon vs Almagro?

Colon 3-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colon vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Colon 67%, draw 18%, Almagro 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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