Defensores Unidos 2-2 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.48
Over 2.5
29%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.03
No
67%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-6.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
45%
-11.8pp
67%
BTTS No
55%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 37%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.36/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.05
+24% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
1W-1D-0L
AWAY San Telmo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 2
26.08.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
16.04.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 3-2 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores Unidos and San Telmo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensores Unidos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Defensores Unidos had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Defensores Unidos and 1.50 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs San Telmo?

Defensores Unidos 2-2 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 43%, draw 30%, San Telmo 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensores Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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