Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Chaco For Ever — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.38
Over 2.5
31%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
69%
+0.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
31%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaco For Ever EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -12%
1.29/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.60
+1% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chaco For Ever
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
31.07.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 4-0 HT 0-0 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
27.03.2023 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
28.09.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Chaco For Ever
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta edged past Chaco For Ever 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Atlanta as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 0.67 for Chaco For Ever.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Chaco For Ever?

Atletico Atlanta 1-0 Chaco For Ever in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Chaco For Ever?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 41%, draw 31%, Chaco For Ever 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Atlanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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