Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.26/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.06
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
18.06.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
16.11.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
19.07.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
22.02.2018 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJK
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Mendoza at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.00 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Maipu?

Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 50%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maipu 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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