Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.31/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.36
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros and Patronato played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Caseros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Patronato?

Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 44%, draw 33%, Patronato 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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