Thisted 3-3 Ishoj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ishoj EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.86/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.98
-35% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
208 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ishoj
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Ishoj Ishoj 3-4 Thisted Thisted DAN2
20.10.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-0 Ishoj Ishoj DAN2
10.08.2024 Ishoj Ishoj 0-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Ishoj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted and Ishoj couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Thisted had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thisted and 1.00 for Ishoj.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Ishoj?

Thisted 3-3 Ishoj in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Ishoj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Thisted 37%, draw 29%, Ishoj 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thisted), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thisted) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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