Middelfart 3-0 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 24 May 2025

Middelfart
3-0 HT 0-0
Naestved
📅24/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Middelfart vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.77/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/3.12
-12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Middelfart vs Naestved Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Naestved
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2025 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
16.11.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
19.09.2021 Naestved Naestved 4-0 HT 2-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
18.10.2014 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart ran out comfortable winners over Naestved 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Middelfart and 1.75 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Naestved?

Middelfart 3-0 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 51%, draw 23%, Naestved 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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