Jaro 1-1 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 May 2025

Jaro
1-1 HT 1-1
Gnistan
📅24/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.54/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/2.28
+34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
Crosses 25.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gnistan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
19.07.2023 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
12.08.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
12.06.2022 Jaro Jaro 0-2 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
10.10.2021 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FINY
07.08.2021 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-1
AWAY Gnistan
0.82 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
181 Passes 156
59% Pass Accuracy 56%
13 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaro vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro and Gnistan shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gnistan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jaro had 52% of the ball to Gnistan's 48%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.82 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jaro and 1.17 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Jaro vs Gnistan?

Jaro 1-1 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaro 30%, draw 26%, Gnistan 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gnistan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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