Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.96/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.12
-13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
218 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
07.09.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
11.05.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 3-2 HT 2-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
12.08.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
15.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen edged past Gyeongju HNP 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 1.25 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 30%, draw 28%, Gyeongju HNP 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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