Kairat 1-2 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.29/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.97
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Okzhetpes
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 4
15.07.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
03.06.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
27.09.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 3-3 HT 2-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
11.03.2020 Kairat Kairat 5-0 HT 2-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
05.04.2015 Kairat Kairat 4-0 HT 2-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Okzhetpes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes squeezed past Kairat 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kairat at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kairat and 0.80 for Okzhetpes.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Okzhetpes?

Kairat 1-2 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kairat 60%, draw 21%, Okzhetpes 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kairat), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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