FC Astana 4-2 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.82/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.22
-1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Zhenys
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.05.2025 Zhenys 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
29.09.2024 Zhenys 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
13.04.2024 Zhenys 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
01.03.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana saw off Zhenys 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FC Astana and 0.50 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Zhenys?

FC Astana 4-2 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 53%, draw 26%, Zhenys 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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