Zhenys 1-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 62%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
0.75/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.49
-13% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +75%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
190 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Astana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.04.2024 Zhenys 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
01.03.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys and FC Astana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Astana at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Zhenys and 1.50 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs FC Astana?

Zhenys 1-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 20%, draw 26%, FC Astana 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Astana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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