Rigas FS II 3-1 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.2pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.7pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 46%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.91/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+116% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas FS II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
31.08.2024 Ogre United 1-2 HT 0-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
04.05.2024 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 5-0 HT 1-0 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH Rigas FS II vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas FS II saw off Ogre United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Rigas FS II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Rigas FS II and 0.50 for Ogre United.

What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Ogre United?

Rigas FS II 3-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 38%, draw 31%, Ogre United 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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