FK Riteriai 2-4 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-11.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 60%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.83
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
07.10.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-3 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
30.07.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
27.05.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-4 HT 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
09.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
23.11.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
2-4
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen beat FK Riteriai 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 34% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 66%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Riteriai and 2.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Riteriai 2-4 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 30%, draw 26%, Hegelmann Litauen 43%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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