Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 17%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.73/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.34
+32% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Riteriai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-3 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
30.07.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
27.05.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-4 HT 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
09.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
23.11.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
11.09.2022 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen edged past FK Riteriai 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.83 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Riteriai?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 52%, draw 29%, FK Riteriai 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
29 Mar 2025
17:00 FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris Analysis →