FA Siauliai 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 55%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.39/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.72
+61% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +88%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
21.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
01.07.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
17.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
17.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITK
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris squeezed past FA Siauliai 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.50 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FA Siauliai 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 22%, draw 33%, Kauno Zalgiris 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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