Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-11.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
17.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
17.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITK
03.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
02.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3-1
AWAY FA Siauliai
39% Ball Possession 61%
21 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris beat FA Siauliai 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kauno Zalgiris found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 39% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 61%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.67 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 33%, draw 27%, FA Siauliai 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FA Siauliai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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