FA Siauliai 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.37
-12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
17.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
17.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITK
03.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
02.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
29.04.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-0
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai edged past Kauno Zalgiris 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; FA Siauliai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 55% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 45%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.33 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FA Siauliai 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 36%, draw 30%, Kauno Zalgiris 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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