Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.19/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.49
-86% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -66%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
01.07.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
17.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
17.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITK
03.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-1
AWAY FA Siauliai
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris edged past FA Siauliai 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 53% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 47%, shots finished 22-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.50 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 43%, draw 29%, FA Siauliai 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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