Banga Gargzdai 2-3 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.63/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.99
+35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
186 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
11.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
16.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
27.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
25.06.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
24.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; FK Panevezys found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Banga Gargzdai 2-3 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 33%, draw 27%, FK Panevezys 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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