FK Panevezys 0-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.1pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.1pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 19%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.32/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.70
-27% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
16.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
27.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
25.06.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
24.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
05.03.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-4 HT 0-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
0-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai squeezed past FK Panevezys 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 59% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 41%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.50 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Panevezys 0-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 48%, draw 33%, Banga Gargzdai 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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