Northcote City 3-1 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.3pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.5pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 24%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-44% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Moreland City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.02.2025 Moreland City Moreland City 0-1 Northcote City Northcote City NPL2
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northcote City got the better of Moreland City 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Northcote City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs Moreland City?

Northcote City 3-1 Moreland City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 54%, draw 16%, Moreland City 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northcote City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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