Ascoli 4-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.0pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
0.44/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.15
-65% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Catania
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
02.05.2007 Catania Catania 3-3 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTA
03.12.2006 Ascoli Ascoli 2-2 HT 2-0 Catania Catania İTA
20.02.2005 Ascoli Ascoli 1-2 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTB
06.10.2004 Catania Catania 2-2 HT 0-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
01.05.2004 Ascoli Ascoli 3-1 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTB
30.11.2003 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
4-0
AWAY Catania
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli ran out comfortable winners over Catania 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ascoli had 68% of the ball to Catania's 32%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ascoli and 1.83 for Catania.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Catania?

Ascoli 4-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 46%, draw 25%, Catania 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İTC More Italy - Serie C
24 May 2026
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