Salernitana 1-1 Union Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 May 2026

Salernitana
1-1 HT 0-0
Union Brescia
📅24/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Salernitana vs Union Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.96
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.87
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salernitana v Union Brescia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.78/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Salernitana 1-1 Union Brescia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
1-1
AWAY Union Brescia
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Union Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana and Union Brescia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Salernitana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Salernitana had 36% of the ball to Union Brescia's 64%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Union Brescia?

Salernitana 1-1 Union Brescia in the Italy - Serie C on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Union Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 41%, draw 31%, Union Brescia 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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