Tiszaujvaros 1-1 Tarpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiszaujvaros EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarpa EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.37/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.02
-14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiszaujvaros
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tarpa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.11.2025 Tarpa 3-1 HT 0-0 Tiszaujvaros MAC3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiszaujvaros
1-1
AWAY Tarpa
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Tiszaujvaros vs Tarpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiszaujvaros and Tarpa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tarpa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tiszaujvaros had 56% of the ball to Tarpa's 44%, shots finished 14-21.

What was the final score of Tiszaujvaros vs Tarpa?

Tiszaujvaros 1-1 Tarpa in the Hungary - NB III on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiszaujvaros vs Tarpa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tiszaujvaros 35%, draw 22%, Tarpa 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tarpa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tarpa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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