Montevideo Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
3-0
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers and Deportivo Maldonado couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 53%, shots finished 9-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.83 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 36%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.