Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.1pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.02/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.15
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
27.07.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
12.03.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
16.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 3-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
08.04.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
14.09.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
09.07.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-3
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers beat Deportivo Maldonado 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Montevideo Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 55% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.50 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 39%, draw 33%, Montevideo Wanderers 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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