Rampla Juniors 2-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
0.98/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.11
-18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rampla Juniors
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
20.07.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
11.03.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
05.10.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 5-1 HT 2-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rampla Juniors
2-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rampla Juniors vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors saw off Cerro Largo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rampla Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rampla Juniors had 52% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 48%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rampla Juniors and 2.33 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Rampla Juniors vs Cerro Largo?

Rampla Juniors 2-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rampla Juniors vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rampla Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rampla Juniors 38%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rampla Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rampla Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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