Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Club Montevideo v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-1
HT 2-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Progreso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Racing Club Montevideo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 46% of the ball to Progreso's 54%, shots finished 9-7.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 2.50 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?
Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 36%, draw 35%, Progreso 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.