Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Racing Club Montevideo v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Progreso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.92, roughly 52%.
By the numbers, Racing Club Montevideo had 46% of the ball to Progreso's 54%, shots finished 9-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 2.50 for Progreso.
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Result & Final Score
Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Racing Club Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 43%, draw 31%, Progreso 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.