Bragantino 2-1 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Jun 2024

Bragantino
2-1 HT 1-1
Vitoria
📅24/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bragantino vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.97
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.65
X/1
13%
3.64
X/2
8%
11.45
X/X
14%
5.06
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
9.65
2/X
6%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.73/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.12
-8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
25.1 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Bragantino vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Vitoria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
433 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2019 Bragantino 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
01.06.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 0-2 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR2
02.09.2015 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
23.05.2015 Vitoria Vitoria 4-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR2
03.11.2012 Bragantino 3-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
04.08.2012 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR2

Bragantino 2-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
2-1
AWAY Vitoria
1.47 xG 0.68
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
476 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino squeezed past Vitoria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 64% of the ball to Vitoria's 36%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.47 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bragantino and 0.83 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Bragantino 2-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 46%, draw 27%, Vitoria 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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