Palmeiras 3-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Jun 2024

📅24/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.0
X/1
20%
3.34
X/2
4%
14.25
X/X
14%
5.42
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
9%
12.75
2/X
6%
21.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
2.03/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.74
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
25.9 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 0.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
452 Passes 234
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
22.05.2022 Juventude Juventude 0-3 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
04.10.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
17.06.2021 Juventude Juventude 0-3 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
02.11.2007 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
29.07.2007 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
3-1
AWAY Juventude
2.88 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
28 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 4
348 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras beat Juventude 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palmeiras had 56% of the ball to Juventude's 44%, shots finished 28-16, expected goals 2.88 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Juventude?

Palmeiras 3-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 58%, draw 24%, Juventude 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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