Vancouver FC 0-4 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 24 Jun 2024

📅24/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over Pick
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.52
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.4
6+
9%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.03/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.86
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
15.0 Crosses 13.4
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
3W-1D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.26 xG 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
23.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
12.08.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
08.07.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
29.04.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
0-4
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.32 xG 1.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
388 Passes 318
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers swept aside Vancouver FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; HFX Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 54% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 46%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.32 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.20 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Vancouver FC 0-4 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 35%, draw 30%, HFX Wanderers 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5
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