24/06/2026
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Urena vs Deportivo Lara Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
30%
Draw
29%
32%
Away Win
37%
50%
Under 2.5
56%
50%
Over 2.5
44%
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
45%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Urena v Deportivo Lara — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Urena
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Deportivo Lara
EU Bookmakers 40%
-46% /
-46%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-38%
/
-40%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
283 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Urena vs Deportivo Lara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Urena squeezed past Deportivo Lara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Urena made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Urena vs Deportivo Lara?
Urena 1-0 Deportivo Lara in the VENK on 24/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Urena vs Deportivo Lara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Urena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Urena 38%, draw 30%, Deportivo Lara 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urena) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Urena)
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
VENK
More VENK
24 Jun 2026