Caracas FC 1-1 Aragua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 24 Jun 2026

📅24/06/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+3.0pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.9pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Aragua EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.99/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/3.18
-10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aragua
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Aragua Aragua VENK
18.06.2025 Aragua Aragua 2-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VENK
19.09.2022 Aragua Aragua 4-2 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
27.02.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Aragua Aragua VEN
08.12.2020 Aragua Aragua 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.11.2020 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Aragua Aragua VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-1
AWAY Aragua
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Aragua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC and Aragua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Caracas FC carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Caracas FC had 55% of the ball to Aragua's 45%, shots finished 15-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aragua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caracas FC and 1.17 for Aragua.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Aragua?

Caracas FC 1-1 Aragua in the VENK on 24/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Aragua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 66%, draw 19%, Aragua 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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