Servette 3-1 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.77
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.95
X/2
9%
7.03
X/X
12%
5.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.51
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.82/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
+1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
24.0 Crosses 22.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Young Boys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
228 Passes 352
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
25.02.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
03.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
03.09.2023 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
22.04.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 4-0 Servette Servette İSV
01.04.2023 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
3-1
AWAY Young Boys
1.96 xG 2.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 Passes 290
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Servette vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette beat Young Boys 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Servette had 49% of the ball to Young Boys's 51%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.96 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Servette and 1.67 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Servette vs Young Boys?

Servette 3-1 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Servette 43%, draw 28%, Young Boys 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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