Young Boys 0-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 29% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
13%
7.08
X/X
12%
5.35
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
16%
4.63
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.3pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +22%
1.44/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.39
+28% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
28.1 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Servette
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
03.09.2023 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
22.04.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 4-0 Servette Servette İSV
01.04.2023 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
06.11.2022 Servette Servette 0-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
14.08.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
0-1
AWAY Servette
1.05 xG 0.86
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
357 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
35 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette edged past Young Boys 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Young Boys at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Young Boys had 60% of the ball to Servette's 40%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.05 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Young Boys and 0.67 for Servette.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Servette?

Young Boys 0-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 41%, draw 25%, Servette 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Young Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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