Lausanne Sports 1-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.77
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
10%
7.07
X/X
10%
4.91
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
11%
5.02
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.50/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
+26% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
13.7 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Winterthur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
403 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
27.08.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-5 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
24.07.2020 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
21.02.2020 Winterthur Winterthur 0-4 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
04.10.2019 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
03.10.2015 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-2 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
1-1
AWAY Winterthur
1.63 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
397 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports and Winterthur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 50% of the ball to Winterthur's 50%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.67 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Winterthur?

Lausanne Sports 1-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 46%, draw 26%, Winterthur 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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