Jaro 2-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 24 Jul 2024

Jaro
2-0 HT 0-0
Mikkeli
📅24/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
76%
-19.6pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.1pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.4pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
2.18/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.52
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +54%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-4 HT 0-2 Jaro Jaro FİN2
22.07.2023 Jaro Jaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
13.05.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
23.07.2022 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
25.05.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİK
21.05.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-0
AWAY Mikkeli
61% Ball Possession 39%
33 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaro vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro saw off Mikkeli 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jaro had 61% of the ball to Mikkeli's 39%, shots finished 33-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mikkeli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jaro and 1.17 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of Jaro vs Mikkeli?

Jaro 2-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Jaro 56%, draw 23%, Mikkeli 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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