Forward Madison 1-0 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 24 Jul 2025

Forward Madison
1-0 HT 1-0
Tormenta
📅24/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Forward Madison vs Tormenta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Tormenta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.37
-45% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.8 Crosses 14.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Forward Madison vs Tormenta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tormenta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.78 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
394 Passes 336
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.06.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
17.03.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 1-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
20.08.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 4-2 HT 1-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
27.07.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-4 HT 1-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
29.06.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 0-1 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
25.09.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1

Forward Madison 1-0 Tormenta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
1-0
AWAY Tormenta
0.59 xG 1.18
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
230 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison squeezed past Tormenta 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 38% of the ball to Tormenta's 62%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.59 to 1.18 — on chances, Tormenta could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tormenta led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Forward Madison and 1.67 for Tormenta.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Tormenta?

Forward Madison 1-0 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 41%, draw 26%, Tormenta 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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