Vikingur R. 5-1 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 24 Jul 2026

Vikingur R.
5-1 HT 2-0
Keflavik
📅24/07/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2026

Vikingur R. vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
68%
+2.6pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.0pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vikingur R. v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.44/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.63
+17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
23.3 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Vikingur R. vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Keflavik
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.64 xG 1.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 188
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.05.2026 Keflavik Keflavik 1-3 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
08.07.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 3-3 HT 2-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
04.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
11.09.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 0-3 HT 0-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
28.04.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 HT 4-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
19.07.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL

Vikingur R. 5-1 Keflavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
5-1
AWAY Keflavik
2.64 xG 0.66
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
447 Passes 289
42 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. swept aside Keflavik 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.64 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.17 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Keflavik?

Vikingur R. 5-1 Keflavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 71%, draw 16%, Keflavik 13%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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