Keflavik 1-3 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
67%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+0.6pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.9pp
67%
Away Win
64%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 69%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.95
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +74%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
13.6 Crosses 23.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.17 xG 3.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
208 Passes 392
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 3-3 HT 2-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
04.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
11.09.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 0-3 HT 0-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
28.04.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 HT 4-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
19.07.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 1-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
02.05.2021 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-0 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
1-3
AWAY Vikingur R.
2.24 xG 0.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
147 Passes 403
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. beat Keflavik 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Keflavik had 37% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 63%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.24 to 0.94 — on chances, Keflavik could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Keflavik and 2.83 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Vikingur R.?

Keflavik 1-3 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 17%, draw 16%, Vikingur R. 67%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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