FH Hafnarfjordur 3-4 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.56/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.70
+5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.5
22.0 Crosses 32.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.31 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-4 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
14.09.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 0-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
15.06.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
19.04.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZK
15.09.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-2 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
31.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-3 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3-4
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.40 xG 2.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
256 Passes 225
64% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over FH Hafnarfjordur 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fram Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 51% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 49%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.40 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 2.50 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 3-4 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 38%, draw 24%, Fram Reykjavik 38%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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