FH Hafnarfjordur 3-4 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.67
2-3 Goals
44%
2.15
4-5 Goals
23%
2.36
6+ Goals
10%
4.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.0pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -26%
1.95/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.43
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
24.7 Crosses 25.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.01 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 Passes 275
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 0-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
15.06.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
19.04.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZK
15.09.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-2 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
31.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-3 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.06.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-0 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3-4
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
4.33 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
251 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik edged past FH Hafnarfjordur 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FH Hafnarfjordur at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 46% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 54%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 4.33 to 1.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured FH Hafnarfjordur.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.83 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 3-4 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 47%, draw 22%, Fram Reykjavik 31%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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