İA Akranes 1-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.98
2-3 Goals
34%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.04/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.84
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
24.9 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Afturelding
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.41 xG 1.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
294 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 34
24 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL
15.06.2025 Afturelding Afturelding 4-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
14.05.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
08.02.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 5-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
28.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 2-5 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
22.05.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-0
AWAY Afturelding
1.73 xG 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
377 Passes 348
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 28
31 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes edged past Afturelding 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İA Akranes had 52% of the ball to Afturelding's 48%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.73 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for İA Akranes and 1.83 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

İA Akranes 1-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 36%, draw 23%, Afturelding 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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