İA Akranes 0-1 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
45%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.8pp
45%
Away Win
32%
+12.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 5-2 HT 2-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
28.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 2-5 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
22.05.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
11.03.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 1-2 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
0-1
AWAY Afturelding
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding edged past İA Akranes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İA Akranes had 49% of the ball to Afturelding's 51%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for İA Akranes and 1.50 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

İA Akranes 0-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 37%, draw 18%, Afturelding 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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